U.S. and Chinese stock markets hit new lows against the Yellow Sea
Zhang Tingbin
U.S. carriers are not into the Yellow Sea, but not stable strategic environment in Northeast Asia.
7 25, the US-ROK joint military exercises in South Korea East Sea (Japan sea) held since 1976, which is the largest US-South Korea exercises, in addition to the USS Washington, the U.S. fourth-generation fighter F-22 first appeared in South Korea to deter mm if only North Korea, it is some exaggerated.
4 months ago, few people think that China Eastern aircraft carrier entered the trial so that the door mm Yellow Sea,UGG shoes, China's tough response, contrary to expectations the U.S. and the world, after a series of tense game, the U.S. returned to the midline, not the aircraft carrier into the Yellow Sea, the Sea of Japan to exercise.
Army officials claimed that, far from the scene of the U.S. warships did not detect the North Korean submarine appears. Finally, the United Nations has just condemned the perpetrators, but did not indicate who is the perpetrator.
who are the perpetrators of Cheonan of course important, but more importantly, who hope tensions on the Korean Peninsula, and even war. are in the middle of Japan, South Korea, of course not, the leaders of North Korea is at an important period of change, would be foolish to nothing good? Then also tensions in Northeast Asia, who see it? results speak for themselves.
from the U.S. Democratic Party replaced the Republicans regain control of the U.S. government, the U.S. government's strategy of containment has quietly changed the focus mm shift from Bush to the Persian Gulf era China. Obama just shortly after taking office to announce withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan. While the world that the United States from an olive branch to shake the world, the Dec. 3, Obama announced that 3 million people in more troops to Afghanistan, of course, this has not affected him two After weeks of mind to receive the Nobel Peace Prize.
difference is that in Iraq, Afghanistan, the abdomen not only in Russia but also China's west gate. and into the Yellow Sea, the U.S. aircraft carrier trying to, just to make an unprecedented U.S. military forces approaching the door of China Eastern.
military deterrence has always been a major currency, financial and economic backing of the game, war game is a great power politics of last resort. even for China since reform and opening up, this does not come from external coercion fresh.
1990 in the late, China and entered a critical phase of international economic integration, marking the event is to join WTO, its focus is on what mm standard addition, is based on the West (especially U.S.) satisfied the criteria, or in the maintenance of the rights of fair and reasonable standards in China? If the former, U.S. multinationals will be possible to control the industrial chain in China, and for the future control of the Chinese financial system reserve space, which was the emphasis on national economic sovereignty, the domestic opposition forces.
occasion time, in 1996, Lee Teng-hui, Meanwhile, Soros hedge funds represent short brewing in Asia, ready .1997 July, the Asian financial crisis. From the beginning of Thailand, the financial crisis swept through Southeast Asia, as well as Japan, Korea, and even Russia are under attack .
Chinese Embassy in Yugoslavia; July, Lee Teng-hui question before, but can only choose one .11 15,UGG boots, United States signed an agreement to join WTO.
years stroke, similar logic is now happening again, although a slight change in theme. this time according to the U.S. The standard open China's financial, including the RMB appreciation in accordance with the United States satisfied with the standard (Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke last week, has given 10-30% of the new standards), the liberalization of capital without restriction the acquisition of US-owned financial enterprises in China Of course, no less, the Chinese buy U.S. treasury bonds unconditionally.
many of the U.S. lineup is a former actor, who belong to Go back, now front the show is his wife, Hillary. President Obama is more like a There is no doubt the U.S. is the center of world civilization mm disintegration of the former Soviet Union to become the world's only superpower, the United States; the Clinton era of IT revolution gushing out; American military power is far ahead of rivals with which a difference of two Chinese Generation, in the conventional weapons can not hold a candle, but can not exert any deterrent to the United States.
just 11 springs and autumns, and then compared to the United States today is already a big difference. IT bubble burst, the 9.11 attack, deep quagmire in Iraq and Afghanistan, the financial crisis, debt, and have undesirable color revolutions setback, challengers have emerged everywhere in the world because of financial strain hh, even the most advanced U.S. fighter plane had temporarily stopped production of F22.
supermarket in the United States strength has been in relative decline, the general trend of world multi-polarization of the background, the financial derivatives bubble, foam and paper currency of modern industrial civilization triple bubble burst, or enter the contraction cycle, the global wealth and development of space will show zero and even negative sum game, the main rule is that Revolution means the internal pain and conflict.
a lot of problems such as the U.S. economy: real estate downturn, high unemployment, huge lake of financial derivatives is still hanging his head (which is unique to the United States in the world , is also the largest financial and economic scourge), huge fiscal and trade deficits difficult to see improvement, federal and local debt is climbing, California, to actually become bankrupt; in the community level, public discontent on Wall Street,UGG boots cheap, polarization intensified, hh
difficult to resolve ethnic conflicts in this case, the euro if a serious crisis in Europe, China, Japan, occurred as the financial crisis in 1990, and even in Europe or the surrounding local wars occurred around China, obviously make the U.S. a long way take a deep breath.
but equally obvious is that the Japanese-style financial crisis in 1990 is unsustainable. China's domestic financial and economic situation is also faced with very difficult challenges. never received on behalf of another space The others bear the bitter fruit of his swallowing.
China today is more powerful than 11 years ago to pursue a fair and reasonable mm rapidly increasing national strength of China, now an industrial scale has surpassed the United States, financial institutions better position than the United States, holds a large number of The United States claims. The most fundamental change is that China's military strength by leaps and bounds, 60 years anniversary of the military capabilities of the display shows that China's conventional weapons are close to world-class level,Bailey UGG boots, while significant increase in strategic deterrent capability, one type of strategic nuclear DF 31A missiles to deter the United States; Second Dongfeng 21C deterrent missile on the USS.
confront the Taiwan Strait that year compared to a very unfavorable to the United States is bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S. Army the occasion of the swamp, which simply can not afford assistance to South Korea, while naval and air force alone can not win the peninsula is a type of war.
Moreover, if the Korean peninsula if war breaks out, it does not rule out the evolution of East Asia and around the world all-out war. In view of China and the U.S. industrial economy has a high degree of integration, a prosperity, a loss for both, if China exports to the U.S. will suspend the United States will face serious inflation; and U.S. investment in China is difficult to safeguard the interests of enterprises, the U.S. stock market will crash, a more than 2008 more serious financial crisis is inevitable. Of course, this also means that China's a huge economic disaster. and South Korea, North Korea, and Japan will be the first to suffer more economic and military disaster.
Therefore, any party, the confrontation in Northeast Asia are not wise, no one will be the winner. The situation in Northeast Asia should be returned to the track of peace and compromise, not only for China, but for all participants in the most rational choice. China is only willing to crash and burn in the strongest attitude, be possible to win the peace. because appeasement has always been to gradually lead to the most effective way of war.
No comments:
Post a Comment